About

Hi! I'm Alex Janiak, a startup founder building AI forecasting systems for better decision-making under uncertainty. I am interested in mechanism design, systems engineering, rational decision-making, and the parts of philosophy that start where clean formalism runs out: Nagel, Wittgenstein, post-rationalism, and the subjectivity stuff.

This blog is working notes on those themes — forecasting, futarchy, prediction markets, game theory, and the strange philosophical edges around how people turn models of the world into action.